EV Boom Hits Battery Metals: Lithium Strong, Nickel and Cobalt Under Pressure
EVs surge with 21% global sales growth in 2025, driven by China. Yet battery metals struggle: nickel and cobalt face oversupply and falling prices, LFP tech reduces reliance, lithium holds but sodium-ion rises. Copper and aluminum win long-term for wiring and building.

Table of Contents
- EV Revolution Speeds Up, But Battery Metals Feel the Squeeze
- Sales Surge, China Dominates
- Nickel and Cobalt: Oversupply Blues
- The Rise of LFP Batteries
- Lithium's Hold and Sodium-Ion Threat
- Copper and Aluminum: Steady Winners
- Challenges Ahead for Miners and Makers
- What It Means for the Future
Meta Title: EV Boom Hits Battery Metals: Lithium Strong, Nickel and Cobalt Under Pressure
Meta Description: Global EV sales jumped 21% in 2025, but oversupply and tech shifts slam nickel and cobalt prices. LFP batteries cut demand, sodium-ion challenges lithium, while copper and aluminum thrive in EV infrastructure.
Meta Keywords: EV sales 2025, battery metals prices, lithium nickel cobalt oversupply, LFP batteries shift, sodium-ion competition, copper aluminum EVs
Meta Tags: electric vehicle revolution, EV battery technology, nickel cobalt markets Indonesia DRC, sustainable transport metals, grid energy storage demand
Excerpt: EVs surge with 21% global sales growth in 2025, driven by China. Yet battery metals struggle: nickel and cobalt face oversupply and falling prices, LFP tech reduces reliance, lithium holds but sodium-ion rises. Copper and aluminum win long-term for wiring and building.
EV Revolution Speeds Up, But Battery Metals Feel the Squeeze
Electric vehicles keep pushing forward. Sales worldwide climbed 21 percent in 2025. China leads the pack, buying most of them. Yet the metals inside those batteries tell a different story. Lithium hangs tough. Nickel and cobalt? Not so much. Oversupply floods the market, prices drop, and new tech cuts their role.
It's a wild ride. EVs promise cleaner roads and less oil use. But the rush creates ripples. Mines pump out more metal than needed. Battery recipes change fast. Cheaper options like lithium-iron-phosphate, or LFP, steal the show. They skip nickel and cobalt, easing costs and safety worries.
And down the line? Sodium-ion batteries eye lithium's spot. Meanwhile, copper and aluminum stay steady winners. They handle wiring, chargers, and frames. No big shifts there.
Sales Surge, China Dominates
EVs sold over 9 million in the first half of 2025 alone. That's up from last year. Full-year hit around 25 percent of new cars globally. China grabs the lion's share. Their roads fill with affordable models. Europe and the US trail but grow.
Why the boom? Cheaper batteries help. Prices fell to $108 per kilowatt-hour. Governments push incentives. Charging spots multiply. People want green rides.
But this growth strains supplies. Not all metals benefit equally.
Nickel and Cobalt: Oversupply Blues
Nickel prices broke below $15,000 a ton recently. Cobalt averages lower, too, around $11 a pound next year. Why? Too much stock. Mines in Indonesia ramp up. They flood the world with cheap nickel.
In the Democratic Republic of Congo, cobalt rules. But policies bite. A four-month export ban hit in 2025. Aimed to lift prices, but uncertainty lingers. Quotas and bans shake trust.
Tech shifts hurt more. LFP batteries rise, ditching nickel and cobalt. They cost less, last longer, and catch fire less. Demand for old-school nickel-manganese-cobalt, or NMC, drops.
Markets adjust slowly. Prices stay low. Miners cut back or close. It's tough out there.
The Rise of LFP Batteries
LFP packs now hit $81 per kWh. NMC? $128. Big gap. No wonder makers switch. Tesla, Ford, GM jump in. LFPs use iron and phosphate—cheap and plentiful.
They skip cobalt's ethical issues, too. Mining in Congo often ties to child labor. LFP avoids that mess.
Energy storage loves them. Grids store solar and wind power in big LFP setups. Safer for homes and stations.
But LFP has limits. Lower energy density means bulkier packs. Fine for city cars, less for long hauls. Still, the shift reshapes metals demand.
Lithium's Hold and Sodium-Ion Threat
Lithium stays king for now. EV and storage demand keep it busy. Prices dipped from peaks but hold steady. Supplies grow in Australia and South America.
Yet watch sodium-ion. Cheaper by 20-30 percent. Sodium's everywhere—think table salt. No rare digs needed.
They charge faster, too. Work in cold better. Fire risk drops. Early models hit markets, mostly in China.
Downsides? Lower density, like LFP. But tech improves quickly. By the late decade, they could grab share from lithium.
Lithium fights back. Recycling ramps. New mines open. But competition looms.
Copper and Aluminum: Steady Winners
Not all metals suffer. Copper's key for EV wiring. Each car packs 60-80 kg. Motors, batteries, and chargers need it. Conducts best.
Aluminum lightens frames. Cuts weight, boosts range. Battery cases, too. Cheaper than copper for some wires, though less efficient.
Demand grows with EVs and grids. Renewables like wind use tons. No big substitutes here. Prices might rise, but supplies adapt.
These metals anchor the transition. Essential, hard to replace.
Challenges Ahead for Miners and Makers
Oversupply hits hard. Policies in Indonesia and DRC add twists. Trade tensions, too. US and EU eye local sources.
Sustainability matters. Clean mining, fair labor. Buyers demand it.
Tech evolves. Solid-state batteries? Could change everything again.
Investors watch closely. Nickel and cobalt are risky now. Lithium is stable but wary. Copper and aluminum are safer bets.
What It Means for the Future
EVs won't stop. But metals must adapt. Diversify supplies. Innovate recycling.
Consumers win with cheaper batteries. Planet too, with fewer emissions.
The revolution rolls on. Just with some bumps for battery metals.
Stay tuned. Changes come fast in this space.For more updates, visit DrivePK.com
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Najeeb Khan
Automotive enthusiast and writer
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